16 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1547
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Witczak
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1507
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.