16 Aug · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1456
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dabrowski
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1367
FormLWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)