16 Aug · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1365
FormLLWLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1695
FormWWLWW
19%
81%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+330
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+330)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)