16 Aug · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1289
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1404
FormWLWLL
37%
63%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)