16 Aug · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1552
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Witczak
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1442
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)