16 Aug · 14:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1388
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Przewlocki
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1350
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H22-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.