16 Aug · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kubiak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1420
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🌟Machelski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H28-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-11)