16 Aug · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1684
FormWWLWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Oracz
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1458
FormLWLWW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)