16 Aug · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1684
FormWWLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H55-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-25)