16 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1703
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Mlynarski
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1533
FormLWWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Mlynarski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)