16 Aug · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1660
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jendrzejewski
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1614
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Jendrzejewski goes over total as favourite 67% (113)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)