16 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kubiak
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1458
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (64)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)