16 Aug · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1365
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wojcik
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
40%
60%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Wojcik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)