16 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1695
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Jedrzejak
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1519
FormWWLWL
69%
31%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)