16 Aug · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1544
FormLWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Witczak
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1365
FormLLWLL
69%
31%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)