16 Aug · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1484
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kostyk
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1322
FormLLWWL
67%
33%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)