16 Aug · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1538
FormWLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wos
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1408
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Wos
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)