16 Aug · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1550
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1698
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H32-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-27)