16 Aug · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1486
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jesiek
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1350
FormLLLWL
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H22-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-9)