16 Aug · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1437
FormLLWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1691
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+254
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)