16 Aug · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1555
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Witczak
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1463
FormLWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+92
H2H31-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-8)