16 Aug · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)