16 Aug · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1415
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Michalczyk
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1322
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)