16 Aug · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Jesiek
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1232
FormWLLLL
77%
23%
🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+267
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+267)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)