16 Aug · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1466
FormLLLLW
36%
64%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)