16 Aug · 20:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1396
FormLWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1534
FormWWWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)