16 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1411
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1455
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)