16 Aug · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kostyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1411
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)