16 Aug · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1264
FormLWLWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
23%
77%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 64% (67)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+276
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+276)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)