16 Aug · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sawicki
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1232
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H26-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-11)