16 Aug · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1396
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1490
FormWWLLL
40%
60%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H23-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-16)