16 Aug · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1455
FormLWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Mleczko
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1320
FormWLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H10-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)