16 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jesiek
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1478
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.