16 Aug · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1478
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)