16 Aug · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Oracz
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1466
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 64% (67)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)