16 Aug · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1548
FormWWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Oracz
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1391
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 64% (67)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H22-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)