16 Aug · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1269
FormWLLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+261
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)