17 Aug · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1220
FormLLLWL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1509
FormWWWWL
22%
78%
🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~76 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+289
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+289)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)