16 Aug · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1339
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Paszkiewicz stays under total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)