17 Aug · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Krupa
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1333
FormLWLLL
65%
35%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)