17 Aug · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1263
FormLWLLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1488
FormWLWWL
27%
73%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)