17 Aug · 00:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1392
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1472
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)