17 Aug · 00:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kostyk
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1503
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.