17 Aug · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1462
FormLWLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Krupa
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1224
FormWLLLW
74%
26%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+238
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+238)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)