17 Aug · 01:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1333
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1480
FormWLWWL
34%
66%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)