17 Aug · 02:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1472
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Mleczko
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1300
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)