17 Aug · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1348
FormWLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sawicki
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1235
FormWLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H27-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-11)