17 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1345
FormLWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H23-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-9)