17 Aug · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1231
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
24%
76%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 63% (87)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~79 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+261
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)