17 Aug · 03:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1548
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 64% (67)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H23-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-18)